Tagesarchiv

 ECP | Luxemburg, 08.05.2020 On the surface, market commentators may easily come to the conclusion that there is a growing gap between the real economy and the stock markets. The economic impact of the crisis is being felt more painfully day by day. Unemployment in the US is rising from 4% to 16% with more than 20 million jobs destroyed in April alone. IMF states that the global economic outlook has continued to worsen since mid-April and is now forecasting that developing …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 24.04.2020 We have been asked over the last days on how we exploit the current weakness in the oil price. For the ones believing in a swift oil price recovery, a simple and easily implementable trade is going long an oil ETF. We have two concerns with this strategy. First, as value investors we focus on earning power, namely the capacity of our investment to generate discretionary free cash flow. Unfortunately, a commodity does not generate cash flows …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 17.04.2020 The Economist run a cover last week with the title “The business of survival : How COVID-19 will reshape global commerce”. This is exactly what the managements of the companies we are invested in are doing: they make sure that their businesses survive. In a Darwinist approach of survival of the fittest, communication and public relations can sometimes become the collateral damage of this struggle. This is what happened to one of our recent additions to …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 03.04.2020 The broad market sell-off in March gave us the opportunity to enter the business of cancer treatment again. Not so long ago we sold our shares in Elekta around 135 SEK and now we had the chance to buy back the shares at prices 40-45% lower than when we sold them. This is an opportunity we only get every few years so we kept Elekta on our watchlist after we sold it in hope of getting …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 20.03.2020 As Luxembourg has gone into a complete lock-down and our Prime Minister declared the state of emergency, I wanted first to use the opportunity to wish your families and yourselves courage in this difficult situation. Personally, I take comfort in the fact that our governments have taken such steep measures to slow the outbreak. I also take comfort in the fact that I see in my surroundings a lot of solidarity, respect and sense of duty. …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 13.03.2020 Low valuation has till now not provided capital protection in the recent market turmoil, as value has done worse than growth. The MSCI Europe Value total net return index is down 25.7% from the peak of the market on February 19th up to Wednesday this week while the MSCI Europe Growth index lost “only” 20.4%. Since the beginning of the year, value underperformed growth by 9.3%! 

 ECP | Luxemburg, 16.03.2020 The world is currently facing a crisis our generation has not experienced before. We limit ourselves here to analyze its impact on financial markets and our way to manage portfolios. After decades of efforts to make globalization happen the entire globe is now more interconnected than ever. Companies have globalized both their markets and their supply chains and consumers have today much better possibilities to travel between continents than they had just 10 years ago.

 ECP | Luxemburg, 21.02.2020 In my career as a stock-picker and value investor, I considered dispersion as my friend. The higher the dispersion of stock prices and valuations, the more opportunities are available for the long-term investors chasing bargains of solid companies at momentarily depressed valuations. The foundations of value investing Benjamin Graham laid down in the beginning of the 30’s of last century has been a very successful strategy up to the financial crisis02. Since, his strategy unfortunately became …

Das Jahr 2020 hat für europäische Aktien schwach begonnen, wobei die meisten breiten Marktindizes im Januar negative Renditen zeigten und sich unsere Strategie dem allgemeinen Markttrend nicht entziehen konnte. Zyklische Sektoren wie Finanzwerte, Energie, Rohstoffe und Nicht-Basiskonsumgüter waren die Haupttreiber für die negative Rendite. Das Portfolio des ECP Flagship – European Value Fund (WKN A14YQK, ISIN LU1169207518) mit seinem Fokus auf ausgewählte europäische Value-Aktien gab im Monatsverlauf um 3,46 Prozent nach. In seinem aktuellen Monatsbericht für Januar analysiert ECP-FondsManager Léon Kirch die jüngsten Marktbewegungen und gibt …

Der Dezember bescherte den Anlegern eine traditionelle Jahresendrally an den Aktienmärkten mit einem Anstieg der breiten Marktindizes um zwei bis drei Prozent. Valueaktien und kleine bis mittlere Unternehmen entwickelten sich etwas besser als die großen Wachstumswerte. Das Portfolio des ECP Flagship – European Value Fund (WKN A14YQK, ISIN LU1169207518) mit seinem Fokus auf ausgewählte europäische Value-Aktien konnte von dieser Entwicklung profitieren und im Monatsverlauf um 2,67 Prozent zulegen. In seinem aktuellen Monatsbericht für Dezember analysiert ECP-FondsManager Léon Kirch die jüngsten Marktbewegungen und gibt Auskunft darüber, welche Veränderungen …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 31.01.2020 In his speech on Wednesday this week, Fed chairman Powell commented on the spread of the novel coronavirus “Coronavirus outbreak is likely to cause disruption in China and globally; uncertain what macroeconomic effects will be at this point.” Stock-markets have been quick to adjust to this new risk factor and its potential impact on trade and economic growth. China is indeed important as it represents 18% of the world economy and any slowdown in Chinese consumption …

 Amundi | Frankfurt, 23.01.2020. Das Marktsegment Value ist im Vergleich zu Growth historisch niedrig bewertet. In der Vergangenheit folgten auf solche Ausnahmebewertungen regelmäßig Gegenbewegungen. Dazu passt, dass sich die Einkaufsmanagerindizes zu erholen beginnen – das legt eine bevorstehende Renaissance des Value-Ansatzes nahe. Europäische Aktien sollten von dieser Entwicklung besonders profitieren, sagt Andreas Wosol, Head of Value bei Amundi Asset Management.

 ECP | Luxemburg, 20.12.2019 With the year-end festivities and a new decade just around the corner, I wanted to wrap-up the current state of affairs in European value land in a slightly longer morning coffee. In order to keep it short, I am however not overloading the morning coffee with text, but instead summarize the current state of affairs in European valueland with 4 hopefully self-explaining graphs:

Aktienmärkte, Hochzinsanleihen, Schwellenländertitel: Laurent Denize, Global Co-CIO & Global Head of Fixed Income bei ODDO BHF Asset Management, äußert sich zu den Chancen im kommenden Jahr. Das Jahr 2019 war für mutige Aktienanleger sehr einträglich: Nachdem im Schlussquartal 2018 kräftige Abflüsse das Börsengeschehen prägten, erholten sich seit Anfang 2019 die Kurse: Heute verbuchen Anleger ein Plus von 25 Prozent – was einem Kursgewinnpotenzial von vier Jahren entspricht, wenn man mit einer durchschnittlichen Jahresrendite von 6 bis 7 Prozent kalkuliert.

 NN IP | Frankfurt am Main, 12.12.2019. Investoren beurteilen Schwellenländeraktien aktuell positiver als im vergangenen Jahr: Während vor einem Jahr nur 51% der Meinung waren, dass Schwellenländeraktien attraktive risikobereinigte Renditen bieten, sind es aktuell 67%. Das ist eines der Ergebnisse des Investor Sentimeter von NN Investment Partners (NN IP), einer Umfrage unter 100 professionellen Investoren in Europa.