Tagesarchiv

 ECP | Luxemburg, 21.05.2021 Luxembourg School of Business is organizing on a yearly basis a course on value investing where I had an opportunity to teach again with professor Jos van Bommel and Thomas Kaspereit. Aim of my part of the presentation is to show to students, who are partly in an exec program, how we apply the concepts of value investing in our investment processes and portfolio management. One question I received was on portfolio turnover in the Fund. Over the …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 23.04.2021 Rising commodity prices leading to lower profit margins is the simple top-down assessment. In this case, this view may be too simplistic as the impact on corporate earnings is different by sector and by company. It largely depends on whether the companies can pass through the rising costs to its clients, the market position of the companies and of course the industry we look at. To illustrate our point, we choose in our European portfolio three …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 16.04.2021 I recently came across extensive comments from so-called growth investors making the point that the reflation trade had created a unjustified rally in value stocks that were of low fundamental quality. In the long run however quality had always prevailed independently of valuation and the recent recovery in value would prove temporary. Growth investors should therefore simply sit out their current underperformance and of course stay invested in the growth funds.

Februar war ein guter Monat für europäische Aktien, auch wenn es zum Monatsende hin zu verstärkter Volatilität kam. Der Anstieg der Renditen 10-jähriger US-Staatsanleihen setzte den Aktienmarkt unter Druck. Das Portfolio des ECP Strategic Selection Fund – European Value (WKN A14YQK, ISIN LU1169207518) mit seinem Fokus auf  ausgewählte europäische Value-Aktien zeigte sich in diesem Marktumfeld stabil und legte um +4,03 Prozent im Monatsverlauf zu – eine klare Outperformance gegenüber den europäischen Märkten insgesamt (+1,49 Prozent). In seinem aktuellen Monatsbericht für Februar analysiert ECP-FondsManager Léon Kirch …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 19.03.2021 As an investor we have grown accustomed to the drama that Mr. Market throws at us every now and then. Last year in particular was especially amusing from the point of view of price action in the stock markets. Out of numerous such phenomenon Tesla in particular caught our attention, as we being the shareholders of Volkswagen (via Porsche) we are always on lookout to ensure we don’t end up holding a company that is about …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 12.03.2021 As is the standard practice at ECP after release of the company’s earnings, we review and update our fair values, snippets of which are shown hereunder. This week we thought of revisiting Friday Morning Coffee Nr. 59 and Nr. 130 that we wrote in May 2019 and November 2020. In those two short notes we highlighted our contrarian approach of going against the then established theme against clothing retail and invested in Prada. Back then we mentioned …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 05.03.2021 We thought it would be a good opportunity to speak about legendary Warren Buffett and his Holding company Berkshire Hathaway just a few days after the publication of his annual letter. By reading this year’s annual letter and some older ones, one can only be impressed by his fantastic track record over the years. Berkshire has delivered a compounded annual performance of 20% a year from 1965 to 2020 Vs. 10,2% for the S&P500 !

 ECP | Luxemburg, 18.02.2021 This was the week of 13F filings. The 13F are the quarterly reports filed with the SEC by the US based institutional investors. Just like quarterly earnings release by companies, the 13F filings are also closely watched and followed amongst the investor community. Amid the barrage of newsfeed, we came across the news of Berkshire Hathaway, investment vehicle of Mr. Warren Buffett, building 33% stake in Davita Inc. Now, it seems that it is certainly not …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 11.02.2021 In a recent interview with YouTuber Kiana Danial, the renowned value investor Guy Spier was asked to give an example of one of his core holdings in his portfolio. He mentioned Nestlé as one of these compounding businesses whose brands are household names that would be appreciated by the consumer for many years to come, therefore generating strong earning power for the company that is compounding over time.

 ECP | Luxemburg, 28.01.2021 The stock-market performance of insurers has been historically tightly linked to the evolution of corporate spreads. In case of economic stress, spreads increase as investors want to be remunerated for the increased risk of corporate defaults. This is bad news for insurers who hold large bond portfolios and are heavily invested in corporates in their quest for yield. So it is not as surprise that the European insurance sector underperformed during the pandemic. But hold on …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 22.01.2021 In the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference (APPEC) held in the 4th quarter of last year, an interesting theme came to fore on the long term outlook on the crude oil wherein the participant observed an equal split between the two camps; the ones who believe that the world has already passed the peak oil and the era of the oil market growth is already over versus the ones who see the peak oil in 2030 as mentioned …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 15.01.2021 Back in November, during our brain storming session we came across an interesting investment opportunity in a very challenged sector; shipping. The sector is favourite amongst the distressed value players due to its extremes in magnitude and duration of cyclicality, capital intensity and fragmentation. True to its nature the shipping sector does entice investors every now and then, but by the time analysts complete their due diligence and are done with writing their report, the bubble …

Im Einklang mit der historischen Saisonalität setzten die Märkte im Laufe des Monats Dezember ihren positiven Kurs fort und Und da die Marktvolatilität vor allem in der zweiten Monatshälfte anhielt, blieb die Rotation in Value-Titel das von den Marktteilnehmern bevorzugte Thema. Das Portfolio des ECP Strategic Selection Fund – European Value (WKN A14YQK, ISIN LU1169207518) mit seinem Fokus auf  ausgewählte europäische Value-Aktien lief weiterhin den Märkten voraus und erzielte eine Outperformance von 0,9 Prozent. In seinem aktuellen Monatsbericht für Dezember analysiert ECP-FondsManager Léon Kirch die jüngsten …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 08.01.2021 Just a couple of days into the new year, we already celebrated this week in Washington the premiere of a new event, called Insurrection Day under the motto : “How to embarrass the biggest Democracy in the World”. We believe this was a sad day not only for the US but also a sad day for all our democracies. “Today is a painful reminder that democracy is fragile.” were the words of president elect Joe Biden …

 ECP | Luxemburg, 20.11.2020 A lot is currently being written about the rotation from momentum/growth stocks into value stocks. To us, the extreme value underperformance compared to growth we have seen over the last years can be compared to a rubber band. The more it stretches, the heftier will be the reversal as the situation is more and more unsustainable. November has shown how stretched the rubber band has become during the Coivd-19 crisis. The trigger of a change in …